Exhibit 99.E

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

The information contained in this section supplements the information about the Republic corresponding to the headings below that is contained in Exhibit 99.D to the Republic’s annual report on Form 18-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021. To the extent the information in this section differs from the information contained in that annual report, you should rely on the information in this section. Capitalized terms not defined in this section have the meanings ascribed to them in the annual report.

REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA

Recent Developments

Recent Public Health Developments

The Government continues its vaccination campaign against Covid-19, with approximately 175 million people having received at least two doses and over 68 million people having received three or more doses of the vaccine. Throughout the year of 2022, the Government substantially relaxed its Covid-19-related restrictions, reopening Indonesia to international tourists and lifting all quarantine requirements for fully vaccinated international visitors.

Just Energy Transition Partnership

At the G20 meeting in Bali in November 2022, Indonesia and a number of developed economies including Canada, Denmark, the European Union, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Norway, the United Kingdom and the United States issued a joint statement to launch a Just Energy Transition Partnership, pursuant to which the developed economies committed to provide, mobilize and facilitate funding in the form of grants, low interest loans, and investment, with U.S.$10 billion expected to come from public sectors and U.S.$10 billion from private investment, to support Indonesia’s transition to clean energy.

New Omnibus Bill on Financial Sectors

On December 16, 2022, the President and House of Representatives (Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat Republik Indonesia) jointly approved an omnibus bill to amend a number of existing laws (and their implementing regulations) on various financial sectors, such as banking, capital markets, money markets, foreign exchange markets, insurances, financing companies, bullion markets, pension funds, financial stability and export credits. The bill—which is currently pending the President’s signature to come into force as law—among other things, focuses on: institutional strengthening of authorities within the financial sectors; strengthening financial industry governance and improving public’s trust in financial industry; promoting long-term fund accumulation in the financial sector for welfare and supporting sustainable development funding; strengthening of state protection for financial products customers; and strengthening of financial sectors literacy, inclusion and innovation to promote further participation of the public in the national financial sector.

Bank Indonesia Policy Rates

Bank Indonesia continues to work with the Government to coordinate the implementation of national policy to accelerate economic recovery while maintaining stability. From August to December 2022, in an effort to lower the expected inflation and as a front-loaded, pre-emptive and forward-looking measure to maintain core inflation within the range of 3.0±1%, Bank Indonesia raised the BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate (“BI7DRR”) from 3.50% to 5.50%, the deposit facility rate from 2.75% to 4.75% and the lending facility rate from 4.25% to 6.25%. Before these increases, Bank Indonesia had maintained the BI7DRR at 3.50%, the deposit facility rate at 2.75% and the lending facility rate at 4.25% since February 2021. Monetary policy in 2023 will continue to focus on maintaining stability while macroprudential policy, payment system digitalization, money market deepening, and inclusive and green economic-financial programs are directed towards growth.

 

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Economy and Gross Domestic Product

Principal Sectors of the Economy

Indonesia’s principal economic sectors are manufacturing industry (including coal, oil and gas); agriculture, forestry and fishery; wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles; construction; and mining and quarrying.

The tables below show the composition of Indonesia’s GDP by sector at current prices and constant prices, respectively, for the periods indicated.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry

(at current prices)

 

     Year Ended December 31,      Nine Months Ended September 30,  
   2021P      %      2021P      %      2022P      %  
                                           
     (in billions of Rupiah and percentage of GDP)  

Manufacturing Industry

  

Coal Industry and Oil and Gas Refining

     320,009        1.9        237,011        1.9        264,612        1.8  

Non-Coal, Oil and Gas Manufacturing Industries

     2,946,895        17.4        2,184,484        17.5        2,389,910        16.5  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Manufacturing Industry

     3,266,904        19.3        2,421,495        19.4        2,654,522        18.3  

Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles

     2,200,529        13.0        1,628,651        13.1        1,864,655        12.8  

Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery

                 

Agriculture, Livestock, Hunting & Agriculture Services

     1,672,252        9.9        1,314,809        10.5        1,405,844        9.7  

Forestry and Logging

     111,991        0.7        83,337        0.7        87,562        0.6  

Fishery

     469,594        2.8        343,490        2.8        369,394        2.5  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery

     2,253,837        13.3        1,741,636        14.0        1,862,799        12.8  

Mining and Quarrying

                 

Oil, Gas and Geothermal Mining

     461,703        2.7        332,366        2.7        438,396        3.0  

Coal and Lignite Mining

     603,138        3.6        385,775        3.1        984,679        6.8  

Metal Ore

     204,590        1.2        149,798        1.2        183,535        1.3  

Other Mining and Quarrying

     254,219        1.5        186,566        1.5        194,726        1.3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Mining and Quarrying

     1,523,650        9.0        1,054,505        8.5        1,801,336        12.4  

Construction

     1,771,727        10.4        1,300,466        10.4        1,400,799        9.6  

Government Administration, Defense Compulsory Social Security

     584,361        3.4        424,563        3.4        440,046        3.0  

Information and Communication

     748,755        4.4        556,045        4.5        601,644        4.1  

Transportation and Warehousing

     719,633        4.2        514,467        4.1        699,282        4.8  

Financial and Insurance Service

     736,189        4.3        550,705        4.4        602,307        4.1  

Education Service

     556,318        3.3        402,723        3.2        409,990        2.8  

Other*

     1,922,790        11.3        1,418,238        11.4        1,550,883        10.7  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Gross Value Added at Basic Prices

     16,284,691        96.0        12,013,495        96.3        13,888,265        95.6  

Taxes less Subsidies on Products

     686,098        4.0        459,249        3.7        636,950        4.4  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total GDP

     16,970,789        100.0        12,472,744        100.0        14,525,215        100.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

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Source:    BPS

P 

Preliminary.

*

Includes the Procurement of Electricity and Gas; Procurement of Water, Management of Trash, Waste and Recycle; Accommodation and Food Beverages Supply; Real Estate; Corporate Services; Health Service and Social Activity; and Other Services sectors.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry

(at constant prices)

 

     Year Ended December 31,      Nine Months Ended September 30,  
     2021P      %      2021P      %      2022P      %  
                                           
     (in billions of Rupiah and percentage of GDP)  

Manufacturing Industry

                 

Coal Industry and Oil and Gas Refining

     203,767        1.8        151,989        1.8        155,081        1.8  

Non-Coal, Oil and Gas Manufacturing Industries

     2,081,055        18.7        1,549,951        18.7        1,625,764        18.6  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Manufacturing Industry

     2,284,822        20.5        1,701,940        20.6        1,780,845        20.4  

Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles

     1,450,226        13.0        1,083,229        13.1        1,139,134        13.1  

Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery

                 

Agriculture, Livestock, Hunting & Agriculture Services

     1,072,507        9.6        850,093        10.3        860,487        9.9  

Forestry and Logging

     63,236        0.6        47,401        0.6        46,863        0.5  

Fishery

     267,967        2.4        196,907        2.4        202,610        2.3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery

     1,403,710        12.6        1,094,401        13.2        1,109,960        12.7  

Mining and Quarrying

                 

Oil, Gas and Geothermal Mining

     260,546        2.3        195,375        2.4        185,390        2.1  

Coal and Lignite Mining

     261,710        2.4        196,223        2.4        207,767        2.4  

Metal Ore

     130,000        1.2        95,670        1.2        113,510        1.3  

Other Mining and Quarrying

     169,844        1.5        124,704        1.5        127,781        1.5  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Mining and Quarrying

     822,100        7.4        611,972        7.4        634,448        7.3  

Construction

     1,102,518        9.9        814,376        9.8        831,949        9.5  

Government Administration, Defense Compulsory Social Security

     364,233        3.3        265,861        3.2        273,129        3.1  

Information and Communication

     696,460        6.3        517,752        6.3        555,901        6.4  

Transportation and Warehousing

     406,188        3.7        294,395        3.6        356,127        4.1  

Financial and Insurance Service

     464,639        4.2        350,342        4.2        355,021        4.1  

Education Service

     350,655        3.2        255,054        3.1        256,473        2.9  

Other*

     1,323,802        11.9        978,305        11.8        1,045,115        12.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Gross Value Added at Basic Prices

     10,669,353        96.0        7,967,625        96.3        8,338,100        95.6  

Taxes less Subsidies on Products

     449,516        4.0        305,385        3.7        381,677        4.4  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total GDP

     11,118,869        100.0        8,273,010        100.0        8,719,777        100.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:    BPS

P 

Preliminary.

*

Includes the Procurement of Electricity and Gas; Procurement of Water, Management of Trash, Waste and Recycle; Accommodation and Food Beverages Supply; Real Estate; Corporate Services; Health Service and Social Activity; and Other Services sectors.

 

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Manufacturing Industry

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the manufacturing industry grew by 4.6% compared to the same period in 2021. This was due to a growth of 4.9% in the non-coal, oil and gas manufacturing industries and a growth of 2.0% in the coal, oil and gas refining industry, each as compared to the same period in 2021. The 4.9% growth in the non-coal, oil and gas manufacturing industries was primarily driven by a growth of 14.7% in the basic metals industry due to increased production of iron and steel as well as increasing foreign demand of basic metals, a growth of 10.6% in transportation equipment industry as a result of increased car production.

Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles sector grew by 5.2% compared to the same period in 2021. This was driven by a growth of 5.5% in the trade of cars, motorbikes and repair subsector and a growth of 5.1% in the big trade and retail (not cars and motorcycles) subsector.

Agriculture, forestry and fishery

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the agriculture, forestry and fishery sector grew by 1.4% compared to the same period in 2021. This was mainly driven by a growth of 2.9% in fishery subsector driven by increased production in captured and farmed fisheries, and a growth of 1.2% in agriculture, livestock, hunting, & agriculture services subsector due to the increase in palm oil production and tea commodity demand. The forestry and logging subsector declined by 1.1% as compared to the same period in 2021.

Mining and Quarrying

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the mining and quarrying sector grew by 3.7% compared to the same period in 2021. This was mainly driven by a growth of 18.6% in metal ore mining subsector driven by increased production of copper and gold in the mineral district of Grasberg, Papua, and increased demand from abroad, especially for gold and copper commodities. The coal and lignite mining subsector grew by 5.9% and the other mining and quarrying subsector saw a growth of 2.5%. On the contrary, the oil, gas and geothermal mining subsector declined by 5.1% as compared to the same period in 2021.

Oil and Natural Gas

The following table sets forth the average price of Indonesian crude oil, measured by the Indonesian Crude Price (“ICP”), for the periods indicated.

 

     As of
December 31,
     As of
November 30,
 
     2021      2022  
               
     (in U.S. dollars per barrel)  

ICP

     68.5        87.5  

 

Sources:     Directorate General of Oil and Gas, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

Construction

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the construction sector grew by 2.2% compared to the same period in 2021.

Transportation and Warehousing

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the transportation and warehousing sector grew by 21.0% compared to the same period in 2021. This was primarily due to a growth of 48.0% in warehousing and

 

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transportation support services, and post and courier, a growth of 78.8% in air freight and a growth of 8.5% in land transport.

Financial and Insurance Service

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the financial and insurance service sector grew by 1.3% compared to the same period in 2021. This was primarily due to growths in financial intermediary services and other financial services.

Information and Communication

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the information and communication sector grew by 7.4% compared to the same period in 2021.

Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure

The following table shows the distribution of GDP in the Indonesian economy by expenditure at current prices and constant prices, respectively, for the periods indicated.

Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure

(at current prices)

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended September 30,  
     2021P      %      2021P      %      2022P      %  
                                           
     (in billions of Rupiah and percentage of GDP)  

GDP

     16,970,789        100.0        12,472,744        100.0        14,525,215        100.0  

Add: Imports of goods and services

     3,201,023        18.9        2,277,213        18.3        3,040,769        20.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total supply of goods and services

     20,171,812        118.9        14,749,957        118.3        17,565,984        120.9  

Less: Exports of goods and services

     3,659,040        21.6        2,593,174        20.8        3,599,749        24.8  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total domestic expenditure

     16,512,772        97.3        12,156,783        97.5        13,966,235        96.2  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Allocation of total domestic expenditure:

                 

Household consumption expenditure

     9,236,010        54.4        6,856,275        55.0        7,518,487        51.8  

NPISHs consumption expenditure

     207,767        1.2        154,493        1.2        169,427        1.2  

Government consumption expenditure

     1,551,707        9.1        1,020,164        8.2        978,709        6.7  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total consumption

     10,995,483        64.8        8,030,933        64.4        8,666,623        59.7  

Gross domestic fixed capital formation

     5,227,854        30.8        3,832,933        30.7        4,170,982        28.7  

Change in inventories (residual)(1)

     289,435        1.7        292,917        2.3        1,128,630        7.8  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total domestic expenditure

     16,512,772        97.3        12,156,783        97.5        13,966,235        96.2  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:    BPS

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Includes statistical discrepancies.

 

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Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure

(at constant 2010 prices)(1)

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended September 30,  
     2021P      %      2021P      %      2022P      %  
                                           
     (in billions of Rupiah and percentage of GDP)  

GDP

     11,118,869        100.0        8,273,010        100.0        8,719,777        100.0  

Add: Imports of goods and services

     2,101,352        18.9        1,514,406        18.3        1,772,902        20.3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total supply of goods and services

     13,220,220        118.9        9,787,415        118.3        10,492,679        120.3  

Less: Exports of goods and services

     2,592,682        23.3        1,888,447        22.8        2,258,033        25.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total domestic expenditure

     10,627,538        95.6        7,898,969        95.5        8,234,646        94.4  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Allocation of total domestic expenditure:

                 

Household consumption expenditure

     5,896,697        53.0        4,386,050        53.0        4,608,941        52.9  

NPISHs consumption expenditure

     132,317        1.2        98,570        1.2        104,147        1.2  

Government consumption expenditure

     909,173        8.2        603,880        7.3        575,663        6.6  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total consumption

     6,938,187        62.4        5,088,500        61.5        5,288,751        60.7  

Gross domestic fixed capital formation

     3,549,219        31.9        2,615,123        31.6        2,721,158        31.2  

Change in inventories (residual)(2)

     140,132        1.3        195,346        2.4        224,737        2.6  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total domestic expenditure

     10,627,538        95.6        7,898,969        95.5        8,234,646        94.4  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     BPS

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Calculated with calendar year 2010 as the Base Year.

(2)

Includes statistical discrepancies.

Inflation

The following table shows the Consumer Price Index (“CPI”), as of the end of the periods indicated and the percentage changes against the previous period.

Changes in Consumer Price Index

 

     As of
December 31,
    As of
November 30,
 
     2021     2021     2022  

CPI(1)

     107.7       107.1       112.9  

Annual percentage year-on-year

     1.7     1.8     5.4

 

Source:     BPS

(1)

Calculated on the basis of 2018 CPI = 100. From January 2020, BPS calculated CPI based on a consumption pattern obtained from a cost of living survey conducted in 2018 in 90 cities in Indonesia. Prior to January 2020, CPI was based on a consumption pattern obtained from a cost of living survey conducted in 2012 in 82 provincial capital cities in Indonesia.

 

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The following table shows percentage changes year-on-year in the CPI for certain commodities for the periods indicated.

Inflation by Commodity(1)(2)

 

     As of
December 31,
    As of
November 30,
 
     2021     2021      2022  

Food, drinks, and tobacco

     3.1       3.0        5.9  

Clothing and Footwear

     1.5       1.3        1.5  

Housing, water, electricity, and household fuel

     0.8       0.7        3.2  

Household equipment, tools, and routine maintenance

     2.7       2.5        5.0  

Health

     1.7       1.7        2.9  

Transportation

     1.6       1.4        15.5  

Information, communication, and financial services

     (0.1     0.0        (0.4

Recreation, sports, and culture

     1.1       1.0        2.9  

Education

     1.6       1.6        2.8  

Food and beverage providers/restaurant

     2.7       2.7        4.6  

Personal care and other services

     1.7       1.2        5.5  

 

Source:     BPS

(1) 

Annual percentage year-on-year.

(2) 

From January 2020, BPS calculated CPI based on a consumption pattern obtained from a cost of living survey conducted in 2018 in 90 cities in Indonesia. Prior to January 2020, CPI was based on a consumption pattern obtained from a cost of living survey conducted in 2012 in 82 provincial capital cities in Indonesia.

As of November 2022, annual inflation was 5.4%, which was lower than the 5.7% annual inflation in October 2022. This was due to lower inflation in some of the commodities sectors from October 2022 to November 2022. The three sectors which experienced the highest inflation as of November 2022 were transportation; food, drinks and tobacco; and personal care and other services, for which the annual inflation was 15.5%, 5.9% and 5.5%, respectively, and the month-to-month inflation compared to October 2022 was 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.4%, respectively.

 

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Labor and Employment

Labor

The following table sets forth the proportion of the employed labor force in each sector of the economy as of the periods indicated.

 

     As of
February
     As of
August
 

Sector

   2022(1)      2022(1)  
     (in millions)      %      (in millions)      %  

Agriculture, forestry and fishing

     40.6        30.0        38.7        28.6  

Mining and quarrying

     1.6        1.2        1.5        1.1  

Manufacturing

     18.7        13.8        19.2        14.2  

Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply

     0.3        0.2        0.3        0.2  

Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities

     0.5        0.4        0.5        0.4  

Construction

     8.2        6.0        8.5        6.3  

Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

     25.8        19.0        26.2        19.4  

Transportation and storage

     5.7        4.2        5.8        4.3  

Accommodation and food service activities

     9.6        7.1        9.6        7.1  

Information and communication

     1.1        0.8        1.0        0.7  

Financial and insurance activities

     1.5        1.1        1.6        1.2  

Real estate activities

     0.5        0.3        0.5        0.3  

Professional, scientific and technical activities, Administrative and support service activities

     1.9        1.4        2.2        1.7  

Public administration and defence, compulsory social security

     4.6        3.4        4.9        3.6  

Education

     6.6        4.9        6.5        4.8  

Human health and social work activities

     2.4        1.8        2.2        1.7  

Other service activities

     5.9        4.3        6.0        4.5  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     135.6        100.0        135.3        100  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     BPS

(1) 

Estimation using population projections weighing results.

Employed Labor Force of Indonesia by Gender

The following table sets forth Indonesia’s employed labor force by gender as of the periods indicated.

 

     As of
February
     As of
August
 
     2022      2022  
     (in millions)      %(1)      (in millions)      %(1)  

Male

     82.3        60.7        82.6        61.0  

Female

     53.3        39.3        52.7        39.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     135.6        100.0        135.3        100.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     BPS

(1) 

Percentages are calculated as percentages of the employed labor force.

 

E-8


Employment and Unemployment in Indonesia

The following table sets forth Indonesia’s employment and unemployment rate each as a percentage of Indonesia’s labor force as of the periods indicated.(1)

 

     As of
February
     As of
August
 
     2022      2022  
     (in millions)      %      (in millions)      %  

Employed

     135.6        94.2        135.3        94.1  

Unemployed(2)

     8.4        5.8        8.4        5.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     144.0        100.0        143.7        100  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     BPS

(1) 

Working age population refers to all persons in Indonesia 15 years old or older and includes certain non-workforce categories such as students and home makers.

(2) 

The Government defines unemployment to include all persons 15 years old and older without work who (i) are looking for work, (ii) have established a new business, (iii) are not looking for work because they do not expect to find work, and (iv) have made arrangements to start work on a date subsequent to the unemployment measurement date.

Regional Growth

As the island with the highest population density, high consumption and an industrial base, Java has historically been the main contributor to Indonesia’s economic growth. In the third quarter of 2022, Java contributed 56.3% of the country’s GDP, Sumatera contributed 22.0%, Kalimantan contributed 9.4%, Sulawesi contributed 7.1%, Bali and Nusa Tenggara contributed 2.7%, and Maluku and Papua contributed 2.4%.

Foreign Investment

Foreign Investment in Indonesia

The following table sets out the amounts of foreign investments in Indonesia by non-residents for the periods indicated.

Foreign Investment in Indonesia

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Direct Investments

        

Equity Capital

     20,566        15,919        14,085  

Debt instrument

     796        312        952  

Total direct investments

     21,362        16,231        15,037  

Portfolio investments:

        

Equity securities

     3,131        2,321        5,146  

Debt securities

     3,719        9,079        (7,988

Total portfolio investments

     6,850        11,401        (2,842

Financial derivatives

     (1,143      (440      (811

Other investments

     (616      2,306        (729
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total foreign investment

     26,453        29,498        10,655  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

 

E-9


Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia by Country of Origin(1)

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

North America

     1,541        1,032        1,197  

USA

     1,481        994        1,193  

Canada

     38        38        3  

Other North America(2)

     22        (1      1  

Central and South America

     (70      438        50  

Argentina

     0        0        0  

Brazil

     18        (1      (20

Mexico

     1        2        1  

Cayman Islands

     (7      (8      93  

Other Central and South America

     (81      445        (24

Europe

     1,001        366        1,162  

European Union

     963        342        1,069  

Belgium

     (40      (86      102  

Denmark

     96        25        10  

Finland

     (15      (19      (1

France

     1        (1      42  

Germany

     38        33        200  

Greece

     9        4        (10

Ireland

     0        0        0  

Italy

     38        17        (10

Luxembourg

     (407      (372      (395

Netherlands

     (1      (1      16  

Portugal

     399        231        400  

Spain

     0        0        0  

Sweden

     20        20        2  

United Kingdom

     142        0        11  

Other European Union

     682        490        701  

Russia

     0        0        2  

Turkey

     0        0        1  

Other Europe

     4        6        2  

Asia

     18,664        15,334        12,720  

Japan

     1,960        1,739        1,198  

People’s Republic of China

     5,076        4,771        2,520  

South Korea

     771        891        1,365  

India

     227        220        375  

Hong Kong SAR

     3,118        2,391        1,511  

Taiwan

     109        92        824  

Saudi Arabia

     2        2        0  

ASEAN

     7,400        5,221        4,917  

Brunei Darussalam

     0        0        1  

Cambodia

     1        1        1  

Lao PDR

     0        0        0  

Malaysia

     (26      (136      384  

Myanmar

     0        0        (1

Philippines

     5        5        101  

Singapore

     5,339        3,348        4,370  

 

E-10


     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Thailand

     2,077        2,001        57  

Vietnam

     3        2        4  

Other Asia

     3        7        10  

Australia and Oceania

     119        63        316  

Australia

     118        62        314  

New Zealand

     2        3        2  

Other Australia and Oceania

     (2      (2      0  

Africa

     (24      (24      (8

South Africa

     0        0        0  

Other Africa

     (23      (24      (8

Others

     (351      (434      (22
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     20,881        16,776        15,414  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Presents foreign direct investment in accordance with the directional principle prescribed by BPM5.

(2) 

Includes Bermuda, Greenland and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.

Foreign Direct Investment

The following table sets out the amounts of foreign direct investments in Indonesia by non-residents for the periods indicated.

Foreign Direct Investment

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Equity capital(1)

     20,566        15,919        14,085  

Debt instruments:

        

Inflow

     42,766        31,163        33,960  

Outflow

     (41,971      (30,850      (33,008

Total debt instruments

     796        312        952  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total direct investments

     21,362        16,231        15,037  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Memorandum(2)

        

Direct investment in Indonesia

     20,881        16,776        15,414  

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Includes privatization and banking restructuring.

(2) 

Presents foreign direct investment in accordance with the directional principle prescribed by BPM5.

 

E-11


Foreign direct investment maintained a surplus totaling U.S.$15.0 billion in the first nine months of 2022, primarily in the form of equity capital, representing a decrease of 7.4% from a U.S.$16.2 billion surplus in the same period of 2021. The decrease was primarily due to decreases of investment in mining and quarrying and construction, partially offset by an increase of investment in manufacturing. With respect to country of origin, the decrease was primarily due to decreases of investment from People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong SAR and Thailand.

The manufacturing, transportation, financial intermediaries and trade sectors were the main contributors to net foreign direct investment inflows in the first nine months of 2022. With respect to country of origin, investors from Asian emerging markets (including China) were the main contributors to foreign direct investment inflows, followed by ASEAN countries.

Foreign Portfolio Investment

The following table sets out the amounts of foreign portfolio investments in Indonesia by non-residents.

Foreign Portfolio Investment

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Equity securities:

        

Inflows

     59,114        41,782        62,430  

(Outflows)

     (55,983      (39,461      (57,284

Net equity securities

     3,131        2,321        5,146  

Debt securities (net)

     3,719        9,079        (7,988
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total portfolio investments

     6,850        11,401        (2,842
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

In the first nine months of 2022, foreign capital flows in the form of portfolio investments in Indonesia recorded a net outflow of U.S.$2.8 billion, compared to a net inflow of U.S.$11.4 billion in the same period last year. The increasing global financial market uncertainty triggered the rebalancing of domestic government securities (“SBN”) to other instruments, thus reducing the portion of non-resident holdings of domestic SBN, amidst increasing foreign capital inflows in the stock market.

 

E-12


Other Foreign Investment

The following table sets out the amounts of other investments (other than portfolio or foreign direct investments) in Indonesia by non-residents, mainly consisting of loans received and paid for the periods indicated.

Other Foreign Investment

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Loans

        

Bank sector:

        

Disbursements

     1,409        841        3,153  

Debt repayments

     (4,489      (2,681      (1,828
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total bank sector

     (3,080      (1,841      1,326  

Corporate sector:

        

Disbursements

     15,131        11,095        14,315  

Debt repayments

     (20,177      (15,260      (17,049
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total corporate sector

     (5,046      (4,166      (2,734

Other (net)(1)

     7,510        8,313        679  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total other investments

     (616      2,306        (729
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Consists of loans of public sector and trade credit, currency and deposits, and other liabilities of private sector and public sector.

In the first nine months of 2022, other foreign investments recorded a deficit of U.S.$0.7 billion, reversing a surplus of U.S.$2.3 billion in the same period of 2021. The deficit mainly stemmed from net repayments of corporate sectors loan.

 

E-13


Direct Investment Realizations

Foreign Direct Investment

The following table sets forth the amount of realized foreign direct investment by sector of the economy for the periods indicated.

Realized Foreign Direct Investment by Sector(1)

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021      2021      2022  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Primary Sector

        

Food Crops, Plantation & Livestock

     951        760        1,360  

Forestry

     41        32        72  

Fishery

     17        13        20  

Mining

     3,817        2,344        3,482  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Primary Sector

     4,826        3,149        4,933  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Secondary sector:

        

Food Industry

     2,337        2,018        1,937  

Textile Industry

     312        244        521  

Leather Goods & Footwear Industry

     486        285        501  

Wood Industry

     68        47        206  

Paper and Printing Industry

     953        593        1,309  

Chemical and Pharmaceutical Industry

     1,657        1,301        2,709  

Rubber and Plastic Industry

     262        224        259  

Non Metallic Mineral Industry

     327        254        298  

Metal, Industry not Machinery & Electronic Industry

     6,974        4,954        8,465  

Medical Precision & Optical Instruments, Watches & Clock, Machinery and Electronic Industry

     679        553        528  

Motor Vehicles & Other Transport Equipment Industry

     1,502        1,230        1,095  

Other Industry

     246        200        310  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Secondary Sector

     15,804        11,905        18,139  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Tertiary sector:

        

Electricity, Gas & Water Supply

     2,939        1,943        3,045  

Construction

     93        71        123  

Trade & Repair

     464        349        650  

Hotel & Restaurant

     432        295        363  

Transportation, Storage & Communication

     3,159        2,377        2,613  

Housing, Ind. Estate & Office Building

     2,186        1,785        2,279  

Other Services

     1,190        847        1,254  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Tertiary Sector

     10,463        7,667        10,326  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     31,093        22,722        33,398  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     BKPM

(1)

Excludes foreign investment in oil and natural gas projects, banking, non-bank financial institutions, insurance, leasing, mining in terms of contracts of work, coal mining in terms of agreement of work, investment in which licenses were issued by a technical/sectoral agency, portfolio as well as household investment.

 

E-14


Domestic Direct Investment

In addition to direct equity investments by foreign persons, BKPM also approves certain types of domestic direct investments. The following table sets forth the amount of realized domestic direct investment by sector of the economy for the periods indicated.

Realized Domestic Direct Investment by Sector(1)

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021      2021      2022  
                      
     (in billions of Rupiah)  

Primary Sector

        

Food Crops, Plantation & Livestock

     29,375        23,581        29,697  

Forestry

     6,863        2,470        4,805  

Fishery

     1,012        760        905  

Mining

     25,517        19,049        46,571  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Primary Sector

     62,767        45,861        81,978  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Secondary sector:

        

Food Industry

     26,518        20,428        37,964  

Textile Industry

     1,972        1,536        4,009  

Leather Goods & Footwear Industry

     700        461        279  

Wood Industry

     1,144        726        2,767  

Paper and Printing Industry

     7,833        5,689        7,731  

Chemical and Pharmaceutical Industry

     23,364        12,240        21,162  

Rubber and Plastic Industry

     7,803        3,850        5,009  

Non Metallic Mineral Industry

     6,522        5,440        4,903  

Metal, Industry not Machinery & Electronic Industry

     15,656        10,400        10,368  

Medical Precision & Optical Instruments, Watches & Clock, Machinery and Electronic Industry

     535        280        2,924  

Motor Vehicles & Other Transport Equipment Industry

     1,459        1,183        1,713  

Other Industry

     1,192        743        6,036  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Secondary Sector

     94,699        62,974        104,865  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Tertiary sector:

        

Electricity, Gas & Water Supply

     38,728        31,012        24,945  

Construction

     39,569        29,827        21,490  

Trade & Repair

     22,432        16,381        26,078  

Hotel & Restaurant

     17,819        12,755        16,109  

Transportation, Storage & Communication

     61,242        45,326        60,078  

Housing, Ind. Estate & Office Building

     85,498        62,773        47,790  

Other Services

     24,310        20,816        29,818  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Tertiary Sector

     289,598        218,891        226,309  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     447,064        327,726        413,152  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     BKPM

(1)

Excludes foreign investment in oil and natural gas projects, banking, non-bank financial institutions, insurance, leasing, mining in terms of contracts of work, coal mining in terms of agreement of work, investment in which licenses were issued by a technical/sectoral agency, portfolio as well as household investment.

 

E-15


Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments

Exports and Imports

Exports and Imports

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Exports:

        

Oil and gas exports (f.o.b.)

     13,201        9,539        13,059  

Non-oil and gas exports (f.o.b.)

     219,635        155,810        206,720  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total exports (f.o.b.)

     232,835        165,349        219,779  

Total imports (c.i.f.)

     (198,800      (140,879      (183,133
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Balance of trade

     34,035        24,470        36,646  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

In the first nine months of 2022, Indonesia recorded a trade surplus of U.S.$36.6 billion, which increased by 49.8% from the U.S.$24.5 billion surplus in the same period of 2021. The higher trade surplus was caused by a 32.9% year-on-year increase in exports, which was higher than the 30.0% year-on-year increase in imports (c.i.f). The improvement of export performance was mainly due to persistently high international commodity prices and demand from trading partner. Consistent with stronger exports, imports also experienced an uptick compared to the same period last year as the domestic economy continues to recover.

Export-Import Data from the Central Statistics Agency

In addition to the exports and imports related data published by Bank Indonesia, the Central Statistics Agency or BPS also publishes data relating to imports and exports compiled based on the International Merchandise Trade Statistics Manual issued by the United Nations. Due to the different methods and timing of compiling export- import statistics, the export-import data published by BPS is different to the export-import data published by Bank Indonesia.

The tables below show Indonesia’s exports and imports for the periods indicated as published by the BPS.

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Eleven Months Ended
November 30,
 
     2021      2021R      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Exports:

        

Non-oil and gas exports

     219,362.1        198,072.4        253,609.6  

Oil and gas exports

     12,247.4        11,179.4        14,568.3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total exports

     231,609.5        209,251.8        268,177.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Imports:

        

Non-oil and gas imports

     170,660.9        152,686.6        180,368.6  

Oil and gas imports

     25,529.1        22,151.4        37,215.4  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total imports

     196,190.0        174,838.0        217,584.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     BPS.

P 

Preliminary.

R 

Revised.

 

E-16


Exports

The following table sets forth Indonesia’s exports by major commodity groups for the periods indicated.

Exports by Sector

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in thousands of U.S. dollars)  

General merchandise

     231,316,430        164,048,097        218,976,772  

Agricultural

        

Coffee bean

     848,285        558,887        804,668  

Tea

     62,171        45,795        47,084  

Spices

     678,397        508,134        453,700  

Tobacco

     73,901        45,498        85,460  

Cocoa bean

     56,244        41,554        41,661  

Shrimp and prawn

     1,644,429        1,185,629        1,203,608  

Other agricultural products

     3,303,394        2,310,921        2,681,313  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Agricultural products

     6,666,820        4,696,418        5,317,494  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Manufacture products

        

Textile and Textile products

     13,182,868        9,462,237        10,910,593  

Processed wood products

     4,636,060        3,196,709        3,444,682  

Palm oils

     26,516,433        19,572,242        20,405,711  

Chemicals

     6,546,591        4,904,975        5,614,342  

Base metal products

     30,443,013        20,787,413        31,505,018  

Electrical apparatus, measuring instruments and others

     11,730,664        8,551,379        10,790,644  

Cement

     402,352        320,782        293,281  

Paper and paper products

     4,284,955        3,246,666        3,577,908  

Processed rubber

     6,832,214        5,169,169        4,921,279  

Oil products(1)

     1,899,971        1,360,130        3,494,891  

Liquefied Petroleum Gas(1)

     4,185        1,610        24,707  

Other manufacture products

     68,334,868        49,321,544        60,689,057  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Manufacture products

     174,814,175        125,894,855        155,672,113  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Mining products

        

Copper ore

     5,386,321        3,801,968        7,092,805  

Nickel ore

     0        0        1  

Coal

     31,505,219        20,342,310        39,572,363  

Bauxite

     628,176        360,910        502,682  

Crude oil(1)

     2,956,045        2,597,897        1,274,736  

Natural Gas(1)

     7,178,270        4,780,575        6,891,399  

o/w LNG

     4,294,339        2,767,557        4,405,321  

Other mining products

     485,173        322,029        453,541  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Mining products

     48,139,205        32,205,689        55,787,527  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Other merchandise(2)

     1,696,229        1,251,134        2,199,638  

Other goods(3)

     1,518,852        1,300,907        802,467  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Exports

     232,835,282        165,349,004        219,779,239  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Memorandum(4)

        

Non-oil & gas exports

     219,634,699        155,809,986        206,719,766  

Oil & gas exports

     13,200,583        9,539,018        13,059,474  

 

E-17


 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

As a component of oil and gas exports.

(2) 

Consists of art goods, goods not elsewhere specified, and goods procured in ports by carriers.

(3) 

Consists of non-monetary gold and merchanting goods.

(4) 

Presents the classification of exports based on two main groups of commodities: (i) oil and gas and (ii) non-oil and gas.

The table below sets forth Indonesia’s exports by destination for the periods indicated.

Exports by Destination

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in thousands of U.S. dollars)  

America

        

North America

        

United States of America

     25,765,002        18,242,941        22,092,818  

Canada

     1,064,214        756,975        995,479  

Other North America

     1,620        1,142        1,350  

Total North America

     26,830,836        19,001,058        23,089,647  

Central and South America

        

Argentina

     281,227        182,626        267,648  

Brazil

     1,504,539        1,148,999        1,185,932  

Mexico

     1,298,970        884,403        1,268,550  

Other Central and South America

     1,910,190        1,304,684        1,735,907  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Central and South America

     4,994,925        3,520,712        4,458,037  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total America

     31,825,761        22,521,770        27,547,684  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Europe

        

European Union

        

Netherlands

     4,624,534        3,325,335        4,296,759  

Belgium

     1,635,031        1,157,485        1,651,042  

United Kingdom

     1,474,290        1,090,897        1,218,565  

Italy

     2,804,545        1,988,123        2,422,270  

Germany

     2,912,856        2,101,193        2,441,731  

France

     996,178        713,999        800,634  

Spain

     2,347,650        1,734,640        1,655,649  

Other European Union

     2,657,501        1,907,345        2,721,575  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total European Union

     19,452,584        14,019,017        17,208,226  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Russia

     1,492,891        1,093,300        1,042,952  

Turkey

     1,599,382        1,195,344        1,563,849  

Other Europe

     2,162,096        1,666,505        1,869,078  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Europe

     24,706,953        17,974,166        21,684,106  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
                      

 

E-18


     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in thousands of U.S. dollars)  
                      

Asia and Middle East

        

ASEAN

        

Brunei Darussalam

     211,268        147,749        173,797  

Philippines

     8,590,823        6,104,029        9,574,130  

Cambodia

     530,909        379,210        525,363  

PDR Laos

     7,578        5,514        24,434  

Malaysia

     11,954,531        8,680,220        11,979,486  

Myanmar

     1,117,043        807,010        672,980  

Singapore

     12,167,500        8,781,549        11,490,321  

Thailand

     7,110,300        5,279,803        6,344,792  

Vietnam

     6,842,952        5,028,877        6,161,784  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total ASEAN

     48,532,903        35,213,960        46,947,087  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Hong Kong SAR

     2,001,026        1,401,330        2,178,060  

India

     13,308,709        9,746,880        17,931,563  

Iraq

     218,389        151,250        283,885  

Japan

     17,595,122        12,554,159        18,087,689  

South Korea

     9,161,223        6,655,040        9,403,781  

Pakistan

     3,823,688        2,783,923        3,116,842  

People’s Republic of China

     53,278,076        36,087,710        46,887,440  

Saudi Arabia

     1,580,531        1,081,105        1,482,927  

Taiwan

     6,726,353        4,725,879        6,472,433  

Other Asia and Middle East

     8,676,922        6,062,632        7,845,972  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Asia and Middle East

     164,902,943        116,463,869        160,637,681  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Australia and Oceania

        

Australia

     3,236,357        2,479,614        2,623,651  

New Zealand

     717,463        516,998        559,475  

Other Australia and Oceania

     403,551        279,637        357,329  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Australia and Oceania

     4,357,371        3,276,249        3,540,455  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Africa

        

South Africa

     965,270        707,967        867,409  

Other Africa

     4,388,304        3,159,292        3,306,868  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Africa

     5,353,573        3,867,259        4,174,276  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Unclassified exports(1)

     1,688,680        1,245,690        2,195,037  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total (f.o.b.)

     232,835,282        165,349,004        219,779,239  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Consists of goods procured in ports by carriers and merchanting goods.

 

E-19


Imports

The following table sets forth Indonesia’s imports by major commodity groups for the periods indicated.

Imports by Sector(1)

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in thousands of U.S. dollars)  

General Merchandise

     196,118,688        139,109,394        180,471,881  

Consumption Goods

        

Food and beverages, primary, mainly for household

     2,754,783        1,883,438        2,000,717  

Food and beverages, processed, mainly for household

     3,860,341        2,865,480        3,697,757  

Passenger motor cars

     375,210        293,205        438,989  

Transport equipment, nonindustrial

     229,968        158,963        214,365  

Durable consumer goods

     2,227,130        1,663,545        1,777,570  

Semi-durable consumer goods

     3,547,131        2,592,405        3,007,278  

Non-durable consumer goods

     5,931,056        4,109,464        2,621,872  

Fuels and lubricants, processed, oil products(2)

     7,567,201        4,755,780        11,239,282  

Goods not elsewhere specified

     308,987        233,311        232,975  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Consumption Goods

     26,801,807        18,555,590        25,230,805  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Raw materials and auxiliary goods

        

Food and beverages, primary, mainly for industry

     6,791,471        5,117,477        5,381,789  

Food and beverages, processed, mainly for industry

     4,408,737        3,540,310        4,561,901  

Industrial supplies, primary

     7,409,535        5,360,192        6,110,995  

Industrial supplies, processed

     69,801,404        49,452,990        59,899,930  

Parts and accessories for capital goods

     20,765,500        15,231,689        18,054,008  

Parts and accessories for transport equipment

     8,039,984        5,765,812        7,156,434  

Fuels and lubricants, primary

     10,014,214        6,791,272        13,231,799  

o/w Crude oil(2)

     7,886,555        5,539,344        10,395,832  

Fuels and lubricants, processed

     12,669,639        8,566,570        13,193,162  

o/w Oil products(2)

     7,367,209        4,939,234        8,193,905  

o/w Liquefied Petroleum Gas(2)

     4,713,059        3,144,616        4,356,879  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Raw materials and auxiliary goods

     139,900,484        99,826,312        127,590,018  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Capital Goods

        

Capital goods (except transport equipment)

     25,371,226        17,942,565        23,313,720  

Passenger motor cars

     375,210        293,205        438,989  

Other transport equipment, industrial

     3,085,572        2,021,866        3,366,412  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Capital Goods

     28,832,008        20,257,637        27,119,121  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Other merchandise(3)

     584,389        469,856        531,937  

Other goods(4)

     2,681,663        1,769,315        2,661,358  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     198,800,351        140,878,709        183,133,240  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

E-20


 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Data collected on a cost, insurance and freight basis.

(2) 

As a component of oil and gas imports.

(3) 

Consists of goods procured in ports by carriers.

(4) 

Consists of nonmonetary gold.

The following table sets forth Indonesia’s imports by country of origin for the periods indicated.

Imports by Place of Origin(1)

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in thousands of U.S. dollars)  

America

        

North America

        

United States of America

     11,607,176        8,281,471        8,838,278  

Canada

     2,039,320        1,570,481        2,209,795  

Other North America

     0        0        0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total North America

     13,646,496        9,851,952        11,048,073  

Central and South America

        

Argentina

     2,028,162        1,509,995        1,998,338  

Brazil

     2,357,034        1,850,383        2,593,770  

Mexico

     251,035        168,757        246,141  

Other Central and South America

     600,554        357,011        462,924  

Total Central and South America

     5,236,784        3,886,147        5,301,173  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total America

     18,883,280        13,738,099        16,349,246  

Europe

        

European Union

        

Netherlands

     877,900        614,638        656,617  

Belgium

     763,083        459,466        455,073  

United Kingdom

     1,116,936        810,536        760,081  

Italy

     1,674,996        1,308,983        1,058,315  

Germany

     3,057,219        2,184,184        2,619,429  

France

     1,316,552        966,826        1,035,789  

Spain

     676,814        381,771        445,383  

Other European Union

     2,413,677        1,700,191        2,137,859  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total European Union

     11,897,176        8,426,596        9,168,546  

Russia

     1,033,735        692,903        1,261,603  

Turkey

     353,531        257,235        323,813  

Other Europe

     2,732,492        1,707,588        1,708,347  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Europe

     16,016,934        11,084,322        12,462,309  

 

E-21


     Year Ended
December 31,
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in thousands of U.S. dollars)  

Asia and Middle East

        

ASEAN

        

Brunei Darussalam

     156,977        123,769        489,686  

Philippines

     1,169,335        842,657        1,038,842  

Cambodia

     50,094        38,166        42,326  

PDR Laos

     38,976        22,069        140,880  

Malaysia

     9,634,006        6,462,586        9,878,674  

Myanmar

     164,217        136,806        95,806  

Singapore

     18,470,973        13,154,515        17,753,727  

Thailand

     8,920,455        6,420,942        8,373,001  

Vietnam

     3,972,949        2,880,277        3,445,526  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total ASEAN

     42,577,980        30,081,787        41,258,468  

Hong Kong SAR

     5,557,561        4,125,946        3,616,610  

India

     7,057,958        5,129,131        7,336,795  

Iraq

     110        103        624  

Japan

     15,533,193        10,966,474        12,929,887  

South Korea

     9,773,262        7,013,187        9,210,074  

Pakistan

     192,770        156,595        134,543  

People’s Republic of China

     53,649,120        37,538,418        48,674,845  

Saudi Arabia

     4,359,067        2,730,075        4,647,209  

Taiwan

     4,293,046        3,092,931        3,363,923  

Other Asia and Middle East

     5,166,872        3,758,142        5,722,709  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Asia and Middle East

     148,160,938        104,592,788        136,895,686  

Australia

        

Australia

     9,404,535        6,590,310        7,214,866  

New Zealand

     954,512        726,741        1,066,049  

Other Australia and Oceania

     39,107        25,767        59,496  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Australia and Oceania

     10,398,154        7,342,817        8,340,411  

Africa

        

South Africa

     634,585        421,584        1,611,962  

Other Africa

     4,122,070        3,229,244        6,941,689  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Africa

     4,756,656        3,650,828        8,553,650  

Unclassified imports(2)

     584,389        469,856        531,937  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     198,800,351        140,878,709        183,133,240  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:    Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Data collected on a cost, insurance and freight basis.

(2) 

Consists of goods procured in ports by carriers.

 

E-22


Balance of Payments

The following table sets forth the Republic’s balance of payments for the periods indicated.

Balance of Payments(1)

 

     Year Ended
December 31
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2021P      2021P      2022P  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Current account

     3,465        1,954        8,969  

Goods(2)

     43,806        31,373        45,613  

Total exports (f.o.b.)

     232,835        165,349        219,779  

Non-oil and gas exports

     219,635        155,810        206,720  

Oil and gas exports

     13,201        9,539        13,059  

Total imports (f.o.b.)

     (189,029      (133,976      (174,166

Non-oil and gas imports

     (162,864      (116,516      (141,637

Oil and gas imports

     (26,166      (17,460      (32,529

Services

     (14,644      (10,682      (14,592

Primary income

     (31,961      (23,051      (26,478

Secondary income

     6,264        4,314        4,426  

Capital account

     80        17        6  

Financial account

     12,423        14,769        (9,223

(i) Public sector

     4,317        8,832        (7,728

Portfolio investment

     (616      4,303        (7,692

Assets

     —          —          —    

Liabilities

     (616      4,303        (7,692

Other investment

     4,933        4,529        (36

Assets

     —          —          —    

Liabilities

     4,933        4,529        (36

Loans

     (1,377      (1,781      (36

Drawings

     4,355        2,543        3,902  

Repayments

     (5,732      (4,324      (3,939

Other liabilities

     6,310        6,310        —    

(ii) Private sector

     8,106        5,937        (1,495

Direct investment

     17,423        13,373        10,373  

Assets

     (3,939      (2,858      (4,664

Liabilities

     21,362        16,231        15,037  

Portfolio investment

     5,688        5,792        1,045  

Assets

     (1,778      (1,305      (3,804

Liabilities

     7,466        7,098        4,849  

Financial derivatives

     333        306        59  

Other investment

     (15,338      (13,534      (12,972

Assets

     (9,789      (11,312      (12,280

Liabilities

     (5,549      (2,223      (693

Errors and omissions

     (2,507      (2,435      (482

Overall balance

     13,461        14,305        (731

Reserves and related items

     (13,461      (14,305      731  

Memorandum(3)

        

Reserve asset position

     144,905        146,870        130,782  

 

E-23


 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Bank Indonesia uses (+) and (-) signs in its published data to follow BPM5 whereby (+) means inflow and (-) means outflow. In financial account, (+) denotes increase in liabilities or decrease in assets, while (-) represents increase in assets or decrease in liabilities. The table above has been adjusted to align with the formatting hereof.

(2) 

The calculation of export and import figures included in the balance of payments data compiled by Bank Indonesia differs in coverage and timing from the data on export/import trade compiled by BPS.

(3) 

Presents the position of reserve assets at the end of period. A surplus/deficit in the overall balance of payments during a reporting period will increase/decrease the outstanding amount of reserve assets at the end of that period.

The current account recorded a U.S.$9.0 billion surplus in the first nine months of 2022, higher than U.S.$2.0 billion surplus recorded in the same period of 2021. The improvement was primarily supported by a goods trade surplus due to stronger exports in line with persistently high international commodity prices and solid demand from trading partners, amidst increment of imports as domestic demand rose. On the other hand, the services trade balance deficit widened as public mobility increased and domestic economic recovery accelerated. The primary income deficit also increased in response to higher income payments on direct investment, which was in line with corporate performance improvements.

The capital and financial account recorded a U.S.$9.2 billion deficit in the first nine months of 2022, reversing from U.S.$14.8 billion surplus in the same period of 2021, amidst elevated global financial market uncertainty. Direct investment persistently booked surplus in the first nine months of 2022, reflecting investor optimism in the promising domestic economic outlook and a conducive domestic investment climate, which supported capital and financial account performance. Meanwhile, portfolio investment recorded a deficit, mainly due to outflow in the domestic SBN market in line with increasing global financial market uncertainty amid ongoing measures in various economies to tighten monetary policy more aggressively. Other investment also recorded a deficit due to private asset placements in several financial instruments abroad and net payments of external debt.

Indonesia’s balance of payments in the first nine months of 2022 recorded a low deficit of U.S.$0.7 billion, accompanied by official reserve assets of U.S.$130.8 billion as end of September, 2022.

Financial System

The Banking System

As of October 31, 2022, total banking assets were Rp11,009.9 trillion, consisting of commercial bank assets of Rp10,814.1 trillion and rural bank assets (including assets of sharia rural banks) of Rp195.9 trillion.

Islamic Financial System

As of October 31, 2022, of the 87 underwriters licensed by OJK, only 30 were involved in issuances of Sukuk, and from 96 investment managers, there are 61 investment managers having Sharia Investment Management Unit and one sharia investment manager.

As of October 31, 2022, assets of Sharia banks were Rp725.1 trillion, or 6.6% of Indonesia’s total banking assets.

 

E-24


Bank Indonesia

The following table sets forth the balance sheet of Bank Indonesia and was prepared in accordance with the Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual published by the IMF, as of the dates indicated.

Analytical Balance Sheet of Bank Indonesia

 

     As of October 31,  
     2021P      2022P  

Base Money (M0)

     1,133,928        1,603,177  

Currency in Circulation(1)

     854,283        905,857  

Commercial Banks Demand Deposits at Bank Indonesia

     278,278        695,530  

Private sector Demand Deposits

     1,367        1,791  

Bank Indonesia Certificates (“SBI”)(2)

     —          —    

Factors Affecting Base Money (M0)

     1,133,928        1,603,177  

Net Foreign Assets

     1,935,069        1,904,448  

Claims on Non-Residents

     2,144,157        2,109,030  

Liabilities to Non-Resident

     (209,089      (204,581

Claims on Other Depository Corporations

     56        56  

Liquidity Credits

     56        56  

Other Claims

        —    

Net claims on central Government

     (185,414      (430,910

Claims on central Government

     115,366        106,004  

Liabilities to central Government

     300,780        536,913  

Claims on Other Sectors

     9,815        9,884  

Claims on Other Financial Institutions

     —          —    

Claims on Private Sectors

     9,815        9,884  

Open Market Operations(3)

     (79,208      510,016  

Other Liabilities to Commercial & Rural Banks

     (83,904      (94,415

Deposits included in Broad Money (M2)

        —    

Deposits excluded from Broad Money (M2)

        —    

Shares and Other Equity

     (410,861      (292,762

Net Other Items

     (51,625      (3,140

 

Source:    Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1)

Currency outside banks plus cash in vault.

(2) 

SBI which is used to fulfil the secondary statutory reserve requirement of banks and accounted for as primary money supply components. Included in base money from October 2009 to June 2018. Starting from July 2018 SBI is not accounted as component of primary money supply, due to changes in the reserve requirement regulation.

(3) 

Consists of total SBI after it is reduced by the SBI used to fulfil the secondary statutory reserve requirement of banks, and is accounted for as a primary money supply component (see footnote 2). Such SBI types include: Syariah SBI, Third Party Syariah SBI, Bank Indonesia Facility, Fine Tune Operation, Government Bonds, State Syariah Negotiable Paper, and Reserve Reverse Repo Government Bonds.

 

E-25


Banks and Other Financial Institutions

The following table sets forth the total number of financial institutions in operation and their share of total assets of the financial system as of the date indicated.

Indonesian Financial Institutions as of September 30, 2022

 

     Number of
institutions
    Assets*     Percentage
of total
assets
 
          

(in trillions

of Rupiah)

    (%)  

Banking:**

      

Commercial banks

     107       10,814.1       75.5  

Rural credit banks(1)

     1,612       195.9       1.4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total banking

     1,719       11,009.9       76.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Insurance:

      

Life insurance

     61       632.0       4.4  

General insurance & Reinsurance

     85       239.5       1.7  

Social insurance(2)

     5       876.3       6.1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total insurance

     151       1,747.8       12.2  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pension funds:

      

Financial institution pension funds

     26       118.2       0.8  

Employer pension funds

     176       219.3       1.5  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total pension funds

     202       337.5       2.4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Finance companies(3)

     154       466.3       3.3  

Venture capital companies

     56       24.2       0.2  

Securities companies**

     121 (4)      79.2 (5)       0.6  

Mutual funds (collective investment schemes, not institutions)**

     2,181       518.7       3.6  

Credit guarantee companies

     22       40.5       0.3  

Pawn shops

     136       71.2       0.5  

Fintech peer to peer Lending(6)

     102       5.1       0.0  

Micro Financial Institution(7)

     238       1.4       0.0  

Insurance and Reinsurance Brokers

     196       17.4       0.1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

     3,206       14,319.1       100.0  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Sources:    OJK

*

Unaudited.

**

As of October 31, 2022.

(1) 

Including sharia rural banks.

(2) 

Social insurance encompasses traffic and public transportation, health social security programs, worker social security programs and insurance for civil servants and the armed forces.

(3) 

Finance companies provide investment financing, working capital financing, multipurpose financing, sharia financing and other financing based on OJK approval.

(4) 

Includes 29 securities companies that are not members of a securities exchange but acting as broker-dealers.

(5) 

Assets of securities companies as members of a securities exchange for the position of June 30, 2022.

(6) 

Fintech peer to peer Lending includes sharia.

(7) 

Micro Financial Institution includes sharia MFI. Assets based on data as of August 31, 2022, number of institutions based on data as of September 30, 2022.

 

E-26


Bank Assets and Liabilities

The following table sets forth the consolidated balance sheet of the commercial banks as of the dates indicated.

Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks

 

     As of
December 31,
     As of
October 31,
 
     2021      2022P  
     (in trillions of Rupiah)  

Assets

     

Loans

     5,820.6        6,400.6  

Interbank Assets

     223.1        231.0  

Placements at Bank Indonesia

     1,146.4        1,190.9  

Securities (including Government Bonds)

     1,831.0        1,845.8  

Equity Participation

     96.5        104.9  

Other Claims

     623.6        636.4  

Others

     371.1        404.6  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Assets

     10,112.3        10,814.1  

Liabilities

     

Third Party Funds

     7,479.5        7,927.0  

Liabilities owed to Bank Indonesia

     1.7        1.0  

Interbank Liabilities

     160.6        165.8  

Securities

     117.7        111.4  

Borrowing

     227.6        285.6  

Other Liabilities

     125.8        166.0  

Guarantee Deposits

     4.6        4.2  

Others

     523.7        601.8  

Capital:

     

Paid in Capital

     261.7        274.0  

Reserves

     81.2        88.5  

Current Earnings/Loss

     140.2        170.0  

Retained Earnings/Loss

     648.3        688.4  

Estimates of Additional Paid in Capital

     274.0        251.8  

Others

     65.9        78.5  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Liabilities

     10,112.3        10,814.1  

 

Source:    OJK.

P 

Preliminary.

The following table shows the average capital adequacy ratio of the banking system as of the dates indicated:

Average Capital Adequacy Ratios

 

     As of
December 31,
     As of
October 31,
 
     2021      2022P  
               
     (percentages)  

CAR

     25.7        25.1  

 

Source:     OJK

P 

Preliminary.

 

E-27


Non-Performing Loans

The following table shows the gross NPL ratios as of the dates indicated.

Non-Performing Loans Ratios

 

     As of
December 31,
     As of
October 31,
 
     2021      2022P  
               
     (percentages)  

Gross NPL ratio

     3.0        2.7  

 

Source:     OJK

P 

Preliminary.

Capital Markets and Capital Markets Regulation

The following table sets forth key indicators regarding the IDX and any securities traded on the IDX as of and for the eleven months ended November 30, 2022.

Indonesian Stock Exchange

 

     IDX  

Market capitalization (in trillions of Rupiah)

     9,559.9  

Listed shares (in billions of shares)

     9,478.2  

Average daily transaction value (in billions of Rupiah)(1)

     14,858.0  

Average daily transaction volume (in millions of shares)(1)

     23,883.0  

 

Source:     IDX

(1) 

For the eleven months ended November 30, 2022.

The IDX, a self-regulatory body, has two indices based on Sharia stock, the Jakarta Islamic Index (“JII”), and the Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (“ISSI”).

The JII is a stock market index established on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The JII was launched in 2000 and consists of the 30 largest Sharia- compliant listings by market capitalization and average liquidity in the regular market. As of November 30, 2022, the market capitalization of the JII was Rp2,252.5 trillion.

The IDX launched the Indonesia Sharia Stock Index, or ISSI on May 12, 2011. The ISSI is comprised of 502 Sharia stocks which are listed on the IDX as of November 30, 2022. As of November 30, 2022, the market capitalization of the ISSI was Rp4,529.9 trillion.

Monetary Policy

In December 2022, Bank Indonesia raised the BI7DRR by 25 bps to 5.50%, while also raising the deposit facility and lending facility rates by 25 bps to 4.75% and 6.25%, respectively. Bank Indonesia continues to strengthen the Rupiah exchange rate stabilization policy to control imported inflation and mitigate the spillover effects arising from the strong US dollar and high global financial market uncertainty.

The policy mix that Bank Indonesia has implemented to maintain stability and economic recovery momentum includes the following actions:

 

  1.

Strengthening monetary operations by increasing the interest rate structure in the money market in accordance with the higher BI7DRR mentioned above;

 

E-28


  2.

Strengthening Rupiah exchange rate stabilization policy as part of the measures to control inflation, primarily imported inflation, through foreign exchange intervention, including spot and DNDF transactions, as well as buying/selling SBN in secondary market;

 

  3.

Continuing to buy/sell SBN in the secondary market to strengthen transmission of the higher BI7DRR by increasing the attractiveness of SBN yields for foreign portfolio investment inflows to strengthen Rupiah exchange rate stabilization measures;

 

  4.

Issuing new foreign exchange monetary operation instruments to boost domestic placement of export proceeds, especially from natural resources, by banks and exporters to strengthen stabilization, including Rupiah exchange rate stability and national economic recovery. The foreign exchange monetary operation instruments are applied with competitive yields based on a transparent market mechanism and incentives given to banks;

 

  5.

Strengthening accommodative, inclusive, and sustainable macroprudential policy to boost the growth of credit/financing by banks, primarily non-recovering priority sectors, People’s Business Credit, and green credit/financing, to support economic recovery through amendment of the reserve requirement incentive to be applied from April 1, 2023;

 

  6.

Continuing prime lending rate transparency policy with a focus on bank’s interest rate responses to the policy rate;

 

  7.

Strengthening payment system policy to increase efficiency in order to maintain economic recovery momentum;

 

  8.

Taking strategic steps to ensure orderly national payment system to anticipate Christmas and New Year; and

 

  9.

Strengthening international cooperation with other central banks and partner country authorities, and facilitation of investment and trade promotion implementation in priority sector in cooperation with the relevant institutions.

Money Supply

The following table sets forth the money supply as of the periods indicated.

 

          Money  

End of period

  Base
Money
    Currency     Demand
deposits
    Rupiah
saving
deposits(1)
    TotalM1(1)     Quasi-
money
    Securities
other
than
shares
    TotalM2  
    (in billions of Rupiah)  

June 2021

    1,069,791       739,006       1,176,423       1,949,691       3,865,120       3,248,484       16,457       7,130,061  

December 2021

    1,351,172       831,234       1,450,967       2,131,756       4,413,956       3,433,822       22,675       7,870,453  

October 2022

    1,603,177       808,649       1,730,418       2,145,317       4,684,384       3,512,633       26,038       8,223,055  

 

Source:    Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

M1 

Narrow Money.

M2 

Broad Money.

(1) 

Since September 2021, rupiah saving deposits that can be withdrawn at any time is reclassified from quasi- money to narrow money, due to their highly liquidity.

 

E-29


     Factors affecting money supply  

End of period

   Foreign
assets (net)
     Claims on central
Government (net)(1)
     Claims on
business sectors
     Other
items
(net)(2)
 
                             
     (in billions of Rupiah)  

June 2021

     1,809,372        797,333        5,186,540        829,915  

December 2021

     1,809,680        1,127,267        5,444,160        1,007,279  

October 2022P

     1,763,959        862,976        5,870,010        1,097,423  

 

Source:    Bank

Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Claims on the Government include net of the Government’s deposits with the banking system.

(2) 

Includes capital accounts, tradeable government bonds held by central bank and inter-system accounts.

As of October 31, 2022, broad money grew by 9.8% (year-on-year) compared to 10.5% (year-on-year) as of the same date in the previous year, due to much slower growth of quasi money, despite a faster growth of narrow money. Narrow money growth slightly increased to 14.9% (year-on-year) as of October 31, 2022 compared to 14.6% (year-on-year) as of the same date in the previous year, due to faster growth of Rupiah demand deposits. Quasi-money growth decreased to 3.5% (year-on-year) compared to 6.0% (year-on-year) at the same date in the previous year, due to slower growth in Rupiah time deposits.

 

E-30


Government Budget

Fiscal Policy

The following table sets forth Government revenues and expenditures for the periods indicated.

Government Revenues and Expenditures

 

     Year Ended December 31,     Eleven Months ended
November 30,
 
     2021L     2022B     2022R     2023B     2021     2022P  

Revenues and grants:

            

Domestic revenues

            

Tax revenues

     1,547.8       1,510.0       1,784.0       2,021.2       1,314.8       1,849.1  

Non-tax revenue

     458.5       335.6       481.6       441.4       382.6       527.3  

Total domestic revenues

     2,006.3       1,845.6       2,265.6       2,462.6       1,697.4       2,376.3  

Grants

     5.0       0.6       0.6       0.4       2.1       1.2  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues and grants

     2,011.3       1,846.1       2,266.2       2,463.0       1,699.4       2,377.5  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Expenditures:

            

Central government expenditures

     2,000.7       1,944.5       2,301.6       2,246.5       1,599.3       1,882.6  

Transfer to regions and rural fund

     785.7       769.6       804.8       814.7       711.0       731.7  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total expenditures

     2,786.4       2,714.2       3,106.4       3,061.2       2,310.4       2,614.4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Primary balance(1)

     (431.6     (462.2     (434.4     (156.8     (281.7     126.0  

Surplus/(deficit)

     (775.1     (868.0     (840.2     (598.2     (610.9     (236.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Financing:(2)

            

Debt Financing

     870.5       973.6       943.7       696.3       660.7       510.2  

Investment Financing

     (142.5     (182.3     (230.2     (176.0     (113.2     (72.8

On-Lending

     1.9       0.6       0.6       5.3       2.9       2.9  

Government Guarantee

     (2.7     (1.1     (1.1     (0.3     (2.7     (1.1

Other Financing

     144.4       77.3       127.3       72.8       56.8       0.6  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Financing

     871.7       868.0       840.2       598.2       604.5       439.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Source:    

Ministry of Finance.

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

B 

Budget.

R 

Revised Budget.

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Primary balance represents revenues minus expenditures excluding interest expenditures.

(2) 

In 2021, total financing of Rp871.7 trillion exceeded the 2021 deficit of Rp775.1 trillion and the Government added the difference of Rp96.7 trillion to its reserves.

2023 Budget

On October 27, 2022, the Government promulgated Law No. 28 of 2022 on State Budget for 2023, effective as of January 1, 2023. The theme of fiscal policy in 2023 is “Increasing Productivity for Inclusive and Sustainable Economic Transformation.” Based on this theme, the policy strategy to be implemented by the Government is focused on (1) strengthening the quality of human resources through policies in the fields of health, education, and social protection; (2) accelerating infrastructure development; (3) strengthening bureaucratic reforms; (4) industrial revitalization; and (5) green economic development. The state budget must continue to be a reliable tool in dealing with the various fluctuations encountered to protect the populace and maintain the pace of recovery.

 

E-31


The key macroeconomic assumptions for 2023 underlying the 2023 Budget contained in the bill are as follows:

 

   

an economic growth rate of 5.3%;

 

   

an inflation rate of 3.6%;

 

   

an exchange rate of Rp14,800 to U.S.$1.00;

 

   

an average Government 10-year bond rate of 7.90%;

 

   

an ICP of U.S.$90 per barrel;

 

   

an oil production by the Republic of 660 thousand barrels of oil per day; and

 

   

gas production by the Republic of 1.100 million barrels of oil equivalent of gas per day.

Total revenue in the 2023 Budget is expected to be Rp2,463.0 trillion, or an increase of 8.7% from the 2022 Revised Budget of Rp2,266.2 trillion. Total revenue comprises Rp2,021.2 trillion in tax revenues and Rp441.4 trillion in non-tax revenues, taking into account various factors such as economic capacity, the investment climate, and business competitiveness in measuring the tax base. The role of the non-tax revenues as a regulatory instrument will be to encourage economic activity, support business activity, and improve the quality of social services.

Total expenditures under the 2023 Budget are estimated at Rp3,061.2 trillion, or a 1.5% decrease from the 2022 Revised Budget of Rp3,106.4 trillion, comprising Rp2,246.5 trillion in central Government expenditures and Rp814.7 trillion in transfer to regional and rural funds. Allocations in the 2023 Budget include (i) Rp178.7 trillion for health budget; (ii) Rp476.0 trillion for social protection budget; (iii) Rp612.2 trillion for education; and (iv) Rp391.7 trillion for infrastructure development.

In 2023, the Government is committed to taking steps toward fiscal consolidation by returning the budget deficit to below 3% of GDP. Fiscal consolidation is necessary to ensure medium- and long-term fiscal sustainability. The primary deficit in the 2023 Budget is projected to be Rp598.2 trillion, or 2.84% of projected 2023 GDP, expected to fall below 3% of GDP, supported by fiscal reforms and stronger economic recovery. The smaller deficit gives the budget and the economy protection in light of the rise in interest rates and the depreciation of the exchange rate, which have created instability in the financial sector. The budget deficit has decreased gradually from 6.14% in 2020 to 4.57% in 2021 and is expected to further decrease to 3.92% in 2022. The Government expects to fund the deficit from debt financing.

 

E-32


Government Finances

The following table sets forth information regarding the revenues and expenditures of the Government for the periods indicated.

Government Revenues

The following table sets forth Government revenues by category for the periods indicated.

Government Revenues

 

    Year Ended December 31,     Eleven Months Ended
November 30,
 
    2021L     2022B     2022R     2023B     2021P     2022P  
                                     
    (in trillions of Rupiah)  

Domestic revenues:

 

Tax revenues:

           

Domestic tax

           

Income tax:

           

Oil and gas

    52.8       47.3       64.7       61.4       46.0       72.7  

Non-oil and gas

    643.8       633.6       749.0       873.6       554.7       852.1  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total income tax

    696.7       680.9       813.7       935.1       600.6       924.8  

Value added tax (VAT)

    551.9       554.4       639.0       743.0       453.7       615.9  

Land and building tax

    18.9       18.4       20.9       31.3       17.9       21.3  

Excises

    195.5       203.9       220.0       245.4       167.5       195.7  

Other taxes

    11.1       11.4       11.4       8.7       10.3       6.8  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total domestic taxes

    1,474.1       1,468.9       1,705.0       1,963.5       1,250.1       1,764.6  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

International trade taxes:

           

Import duties

    39.1       35.2       42.3       47.5       34.4       45.8  

Export tax

    34.6       5.9       36.7       10.2       30.4       38.7  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total international trade taxes

    73.7       41.1       79.0       57.7       64.7       84.5  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total tax revenues

    1,547.8       1,510.0       1,784.0       2,021.2       1,314.8       1,849.1  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Non-tax revenues:

           

Natural resources:

           

Oil

    65.0       64.6       106.5       96.1       62.5       108.7  

Gas

    31.6       21.3       32.6       35.0       17.5       27.4  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total oil and gas

    96.6       85.9       139.1       131.2       80.0       136.1  

General mining

    44.8       28.0       78.9       54.0       39.5       94.9  

Forestry

    5.4       4.9       5.2       5.2       4.6       4.9  

Fishery

    0.7       1.6       1.7       3.5       0.6       1.0  

Geothermal

    1.9       1.6       1.6       2.1       1.4       1.6  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total non-oil and gas

    52.9       36.0       87.4       64.8       46.0       102.4  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total natural resources

    149.5       122.0       226.5       196.0       126.0       238.5  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Profit transfer from SOEs

    30.5       37.0       37.1       49.1       30.5       40.6  

Other non-tax revenues

    152.5       97.8       112.2       113.3       123.1       173.2  

Public Service Agency (BLU) Income

    126.0       78.8       105.8       83.0       103.0       75.0  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total non-tax revenues

    458.5       335.6       481.6       441.4       382.6       527.3  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total domestic revenues

    2,006.3       1,845.6       2,265.6       2,462.6       1,697.4       2,376.3  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Grants

    5.0       0.6       0.6       0.4       2.1       1.2  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues and grants

    2,011.3       1,846.1       2,266.2       2,463.0       1,699.4       2,377.5  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

E-33


 

Source:    Ministry

of Finance.

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

B 

Budget.

R 

Revised Budget.

P 

Preliminary.

The Government revenues realization had improved by a positive 39.9%, from Rp1,699.4 trillion in the eleven months ended November 30, 2021, to Rp2,377.5 trillion in the eleven months ended November 30, 2022, supported by rising commodity prices and maintained economic recovery. Total tax revenues increased by 40.6% from Rp1,314.8 trillion to Rp1,849.1 trillion, due to the increasing commodity prices, the expansive economic growth, and the implementation of the Law No. 7 of 2021 on Harmonization on Tax Regulation. Total non-tax revenues increased by 37.8% from Rp382.6 trillion to Rp527.3 trillion, driven by significant increases in commodity prices and increases in the dividends of banking SOEs.

 

E-34


Government Expenditures

The following table sets forth the expenditures of the Government for the periods indicated.

Government Expenditures

 

    Year ended December 31,     Eleven Months Ended
November 30,
 
    2021L     2022B     2022R     2023B     2021     2022P  
                                     
    (in trillions of Rupiah)  

Central Government expenditures:

           

Personnel expenditures

    387.8       426.5       426.5       442.5       361.5       372.6  

Good and services expenditures

    530.1       339.7       339.7       376.9       409.2       342.7  

Capital expenditures

    239.6       199.2       199.2       209.2       160.4       153.1  

Interest payments:

           

Domestic debt

    332.9       393.7       393.7       426.8       319.4       351.9  

Foreign debt

    10.6       12.2       12.2       14.6       9.8       10.9  

Total interest payments

    343.5       405.9       405.9       441.4       329.2       362.8  

Subsidies:

           

Energy subsidies

    140.4       134.0       208.9       212.0       102.5       148.2  

Non-energy subsidies

    101.7       72.9       74.7       86.5       61.9       57.7  

Total subsidies

    242.1       207.0       283.7       298.5       164.4       205.9  

Grant expenditures

    4.3       4.8       4.8       0.0       2.2       3.8  

Social assistance(1)

    173.7       147.4       147.4       148.6       144.8       153.2  

Other expenditures

    79.7       214.0       494.4       329.3       27.7       288.5  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total central Government expenditures

    2,000.7       1,944.5       2,301.6       2,246.5       1,599.3       1,882.6  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Transfers to Regions and Rural Fund

           

Transfer to Regions

           

Balanced funds:

           

General transfer funds:

           

Revenue sharing funds

    117.2       105.3       140.4       136.3       81.6       117.7  

General allocation funds

    377.8       378.0       378.0       396.0       368.8       369.0  

Total general transfer funds

    494.9       483.3       518.4       532.3       450.5       486.8  

Specific allocation funds:

           

Physical special allocation fund

    57.1       60.9       60.9       53.4       41.6       42.5  

Non-physical special allocation fund

    127.6       128.7       128.7       130.3       123.1       111.9  

Grants to Regions(2)

    —         —         —         2.1       —         —    

Total specific allocation funds

    184.6       189.6       189.6       185.8       164.7       154.4  

Total balanced funds

    679.6       672.9       708.0       718.1       615.2       641.2  

Regional incentive fund

    13.5       7.0       7.0       —         13.5       5.5  

Specific autonomy funds(3)

    19.5       20.4       20.4       17.2       16.6       20.4  

Specific Fund for Special Region of Yogyakarta

    1.3       1.3       1.3       1.4       1.3       1.3  

Fiscal Incentives(4)

    —         —         —         8.0       —         —    

Total Transfer to Regions

    713.9       701.6       736.8       744.7       646.5       668.4  

Rural Fund

    71.9       68.0       68.0       70.0       64.5       63.3  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total transfers to regions and Rural Fund

    785.7       769.6       804.8       814.7       711.0       731.7  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Government expenditures

    2,786.4       2,714.2       3,106.4       3,061.2       2,310.4       2,614.4  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

E-35


 

Source:    Ministry of Finance.

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

B 

Budget.

R 

Revised Budget.

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Consists of Social Assistance from Ministries/Agencies Spending and Social Assistance for Disaster Relief.

(2) 

Starting in 2023, become part of the Transfer to the Regions.

(3) 

Consists of specific autonomy fund for Aceh and Papua Provinces and additional infrastructure fund for Papua Provinces.

(4) 

It is the Regional Incentive Fund before 2023.

Total Government expenditures in the eleven months ended November 30, 2022 reached Rp2,614.4 trillion or an increase of 13.2% from Rp2,310.4 trillion in the eleven months ended November 30, 2021. This is primarily driven by the realization of central Government expenditures which increased by 17.7% from Rp1,599.3 trillion to Rp1,882.6 trillion. The increase was driven by line ministries and non-line ministries’ expenditures realization, which, among other things, supported the handling of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and economic growth and protected the populace. Total transfers to regions and rural fund increased by 2.9% from Rp711.0 trillion to Rp731.7 trillion.

Fuel Prices and Subsidies

The table below sets forth the amount of subsidies for the periods indicated.

 

     Year Ended December 31,      Eleven Months Ended
November 30,
 
     2021L      2022B      2022R      2023B      2021      2022P  
                                           
     (in trillions of Rupiah)  

Subsidies:

                 

Energy subsidies

     140.4        134.0        208.9        212.0        102.5        148.2  

Non-energy subsidies

     101.7        72.9        74.7        86.5        61.9        57.7  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total subsidies

     242.1        207.0        283.7        298.5        164.4        205.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance.

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

B 

Budget.

R 

Revised Budget.

P 

Preliminary.

 

E-36


Government Expenditure Allocation

The following table sets forth, by percentage, the allocation of central Government expenditures by function for the periods indicated.

Allocation of Central Government Expenditures by Function

 

     Year ended December 31,  
     2021L      2022B      2022R      2023B  
                             
     Percentage  

General public services

     27.5        32.3        27.3        29.6  

Defense

     6.3        6.9        5.8        6.0  

Public order and safety

     7.9        9.1        7.7        8.1  

Economic affairs

     23.1        20.6        32.6        28.2  

Environmental protection

     0.7        0.7        0.6        0.6  

Housing and community amenities

     1.5        0.9        0.8        1.4  

Health

     10.6        7.2        5.3        4.3  

Tourism and culture

     0.2        0.2        0.2        0.2  

Religion

     0.5        0.5        0.5        0.5  

Education(1)

     8.1        8.7        8.4        10.4  

Social protection

     13.6        12.9        10.9        10.7  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     100.0        100.0        100.0        100.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance.

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

B 

Budget.

R 

Revised Budget.

(1) 

The amount set on the table is allocated at central Government expenditure. Total education budget in the budget 2023 is Rp612.2 trillion.

The table below sets forth certain Government budget expenditures for priority sectors for the periods indicated.

 

     Year Ended December 31,      Eleven Months Ended
November 30,
 
     2021L      2022B      2022R      2023B      2021      2022P  
                                           
     (in trillions of Rupiah)  

Education

     479.5        542.8        621.3        612.2        460.5        439.2  

Infrastructure

     425.3        365.8        365.8        391.7        293.2        274.9  

Energy Subsidy

     140.4        134.0        208.9        212.0        102.5        148.2  

Health

     312.4        255.4        255.4        178.7        228.3        149.3  

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

B 

Budget.

R

Revised Budget.

P 

Preliminary.

 

E-37


Deficit Financing

The following table sets forth, by amount, information on deficit financing for the periods indicated.

Deficit Financing

 

     Year ended
December 31,
    Eleven Months Ended
November 30,
 
     2021L     2022B     2022R     2023B     2021     2022P  
                                      
     (in trillions of Rupiah)  

Debt financing

            

Government securities (net)

     877.5       991.3       961.4       712.9       670.4       504.3  

Loans

            

Domestic loans (net)

     0.9       1.8       1.8       0.7       (0.1     4.0  

Foreign loans:

            

Gross drawings:

            

Program loan

     41.6       28.7       28.7       29.5       13.1       46.2  

Project loan

     32.6       34.8       34.8       32.6       50.9       25.8  

Total gross drawing

     74.2       63.5       63.5       62.1       63.9       72.0  

Amortization

     (82.1     (83.0     (83.0     (79.4     (73.6     (70.1

Total foreign loan (net)

     (7.9     (19.5     (19.5     (17.4     (9.7     1.9  

Total loans (net)

     (7.0     (17.7     (17.7     (16.6     (9.7     5.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total debt financing

     870.5       973.6       943.7       696.3       660.7       510.2  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investment financing

            

Investment to SOEs

     (71.2     (38.5     (38.5     (45.8     (36.9     (9.0

Investment to other institutions

     (21.0     0.0       0.0       —         (15.0     0.0  

Investment to public service agencies

     (39.4     (52.8     (52.8     (53.9     (51.7     (52.8

Investment in financial organizations/institutions

     (0.9     (0.9     (0.9     (1.5     0.0       0.0  

Revenue of investment

     —         —         0.0         —       0.4       8.8  

Government’s Investments

     (10.0     (19.1     (19.1     (19.5     (10.0     (19.8

Others investment financing

     0.0       (71.0     (97.4     (49.5     0.0       0.0  

Investment financing reserves

     —         —         (21.5     (5.7     —         0.0  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total investment financing

     (142.5     (182.3     (230.2     (176.0     (113.2     (72.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Lending

     1.9       0.6       0.6       5.3       2.9       2.9  

Government guarantee

     (2.7     (1.1     (1.1     (0.3     (2.7     (1.1

Other financing

     144.4       77.3       127.3       72.8       56.8       0.6  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total financing (net)

     871.7       868.0       840.2       598.2       604.5       439.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance.

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

B 

Budget.

R 

Revised Budget.

P 

Preliminary.

 

E-38


Public Debt

As of November 30, 2022, the central Government’s foreign debt-to-GDP ratio was 11.5%, with foreign debt to total debt ratio of 29.6%.

External Public Debt of the Republic

Outstanding External Public Debt of the Republic by Source(1)

 

     As of December 31,     As of November 30,  
     2021     2022P  
              
     (in billions of U.S. dollars)  

Concessional Loans:

    

Multilateral creditors

     32.8       32.4  

Bilateral creditors

     20.8       17.7  

Commercial(2)

     92.0       92.1  

Total

     145.5       142.2  

Total external public debt of the Republic, as a percentage of GDP for the period indicated(3)

     12.2     11.5

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Foreign currency values of outstanding external debt have been converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated.

(2) 

Includes securities (bonds and Sukuk) issued in international capital markets and commercial bank borrowings.

(3) 

In calculating as a percentage of GDP, GDP in U.S. dollars has been converted from Rupiah into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated.

As of November 30, 2022, 64.8% and 35.2% of the outstanding external public debt of the Republic are from commercial and concessional loans, respectively. The total outstanding external public debt of the Republic as of November 30, 2022 was U.S.$142.2 billion.

 

E-39


Sources of External Public Borrowing

The following table sets forth the outstanding amounts of international development assistance received by the Republic as of the dates indicated.

International Development Assistance(1)(2)

 

     As of December 31,      As of November 30,  
     2021      2022P  
               
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Bilateral loans

     20,781.8        17,663.7  

Multilateral loans:

     

International Monetary Fund

     —          —    

World Bank Group

     19,091.2        18,928.9  

Asian Development Bank

     10,818.4        9,997.0  

Islamic Development Bank

     1,345.4        1,345.6  

Nordic Investment Bank

     8.1        6.6  

European Investment Bank

     —          —    

International Fund for Agricultural Development

     202.1        233.7  

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

     1,306.7        1,907.6  

Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency

     —          —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total multilateral loans

     32,771.8        32,419.3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total loans

     53,553.6        50,083.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source: Ministry of Finance

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

The term international development assistance includes any concessionary loans provided by international financial institutions or foreign governments, excluding grants.

(2) 

Foreign currency values of international development assistance have been converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated.

The following table sets forth the external public debt of the Republic by currency as of the dates indicated.

Outstanding External Public Debt of the Republic by Major Currency

 

     As of December 31,
2021
     As of November 30,
2022P
 
     (in millions of
original currency)
    

(in millions of

U.S. dollars)(1)

     (in millions of
original currency)
    

(in millions of

U.S. dollars)(1)

 

U.S. dollars

     99,263        99,263        102,572        102,572  

Japanese yen

     2,392,620        20,786        2,263,791        16,342  

Euros

     19,843        22,453        20,141        20,848  

SDR

     701        981        536        704  

British pounds

     1        1        0        0  

Others

     Multiple Currencies        2,036        Multiple Currencies        1,759  

Total

     N/A        145,521        N/A        142,226  

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Calculated based on the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the date indicated for each column.

 

E-40


As of November 30, 2022, 72.1%, 11.5%, 14.7% and 1.7% of the external public debt of the Republic was denominated in U.S. dollars, Japanese Yen, Euros and other currencies respectively.

The following table sets forth the external debt service requirements of the central Government for the years indicated.

External Debt Service Requirements of the Central Government

 

Period

   Principal
repayment
     Interest
repayment
     Total  
                      
     (in billions of U.S. dollars)  

2021R

     11.4        3.4        14.8  

2022*

     11.9        4.3        16.2  

2023**

     11.8        4.4        16.3  

2024**

     11.7        4.2        15.8  

2024**

     13.5        3.8        17.2  

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance

R 

Realization.

*

Calculated based on (i) actual principal and interest payments made from January 1, 2022 to November 30, 2022 and (ii) projected principal and interest payments to be made from December 1, 2022 to December 31, 2022 based on external debt outstanding as of November 30, 2022.

**

Projected based on external debt outstanding as of November 30, 2022.

External Debt of Bank Indonesia

As of December 31, 2021 and October 31, 2022, external debt of Bank Indonesia amounted to U.S.$9,030 million and U.S.$8,283 million, respectively, entirely comprising SDR allocation and currency and deposits, while commercial debt was nil as of each of the two dates. For calculation purposes, foreign currency values of outstanding external debt were converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated.

The following table sets forth the external debt service requirements of Bank Indonesia for the years indicated.

External Debt Service Requirements of Bank Indonesia

 

Period

   Principal
repayment
     Interest
repayment
     Total  
                      
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

2020

     0.0        19.15        19.15  

2021*

     0.0        2.70        2.70  

2022*(1)

     0.0        40.78        40.78  

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

*

Projected based on external debt outstanding as of October 31, 2022.

(1) 

Foreign currency values of outstanding external debt have been converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of October 31, 2022.

 

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External Debt of State-Owned Enterprises

The following table sets forth the outstanding direct external debt of State-Owned Enterprises as of the dates indicated.

Outstanding Direct External Debt of State-Owned Enterprises(1)

 

     As of December 31,      As of October 31,  
     2021P      2022P  
               
     (in millions of U.S. dollars)  

Financial institutions:

     

Bank

     9,280        8,592  

Non-bank

     2,895        2,104  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total financial institutions

     12,175        10,696  

Non-financial institutions

     46,612        44,244  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     58,786        54,940  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Source: Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Foreign currency values of outstanding direct external debt have been converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated.

Domestic Public Debt of the Central Government

The following table sets forth the outstanding domestic public debt of the central Government as of the dates indicated.

 

     As of December 31,      As of November 30,  
     2021      2022P  
               
     (in trillions of Rupiah)  

Total domestic public debt(1)

     4,836.2        5,315.3  

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Excludes SBI, which are obligations of Bank Indonesia and not of the Government.

 

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Domestic Debt Service Requirements of the Central Government

The following table sets forth the debt service requirements for the central Government for the years indicated.

Direct Domestic Debt Service Requirements of the Central Government

 

Period

   Principal
repayment and
redemption
     Interest
repayment
     Total  
                      
     (in trillions of Rupiah)         

2021R

     382.3        299.2        681.5  

2022*

     317.5        310.8        628.4  

2023*

     400.1        318.0        718.0  

2024*

     474.2        289.4        763.6  

2025**

     452.9        262.5        715.4  

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance

R 

Realization.

*

Calculated based on (i) actual principal and interest payments made from January 1, 2022 to November 30, 2022 and (ii) projected principal and interest payments to be made from December 1, 2022 to December 31, 2022 based on domestic debt outstanding as of November 30, 2022.

**

Projected based on domestic debt outstanding as of November 30, 2022.

Contingent Liabilities from Government Guarantees

As of November 30, 2022, the Government had accumulated Rp5.8 trillion in the guarantee reserve fund account and the guarantee that the Government has provided to infrastructure projects includes:

 

   

full default risk guarantees relating to the PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (“PT PLN”) loans for the construction of coal power plants with aggregate capacity of 10,000 MW and the associated transmission lines (‘Fast Track I’ program). Outstanding guarantees for this program amount to Rp5.5 trillion;

 

   

business viability guarantees to independent power producers on the ability of PT PLN to fulfill its financial obligations based on power purchase agreements related to the ‘Fast Track II’ program. The guarantee exposure for this program amounts to Rp60.9 trillion;

 

   

full default risk guarantees relating to the PT PLN loans for the construction of electricity infrastructure (35 GW program). Outstanding guarantees for this program amount to Rp95.3 trillion.

 

   

partial default risk guarantees for local government-owned water companies’ loans in connection with the Millennium Development Goals in water provision. Outstanding guarantees for this program amount to Rp33.2 billion;

 

   

co-guarantee scheme between the Government and the Indonesia Infrastructure Guarantee Fund (“IIGF”) to guarantee private-public partnership projects such as power plant projects (e.g. the Central Java steam power plant) and several section of toll road projects (e.g. Jakarta Cikampek II Elevated, Cileunyi — Sumedang — Dawunan, Krian — Legundi — Bunder — Manyar, Serang — Panimbang, Probolinggo — Banyuwangi, and Jakarta Cikampek II Selatan). The guarantee exposure for this program amounts to Rp97.2 trillion;

 

   

full default risk guarantees relating to PT Hutama Karya loans and bonds for the construction of Sumatera Toll Roads. Outstanding guarantees for this program amount to Rp43.4 trillion;

 

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guarantee for infrastructure financing through direct loans from international financial institutions to SOEs to finance infrastructure projects. Outstanding guarantees for this program amount to Rp35.5 trillion;

 

   

full default risk guarantee relating to the PT Kereta Api Indonesia (Persero) loans for the construction of the Light Rail Transit Jakarta-Bogor-Depok-Bekasi. Outstanding guarantees for this program amount to Rp13.7 trillion; and

 

   

guarantee for local infrastructure financing through PT SMI. Outstanding guarantees for this program amount to Rp3.0 trillion.

As of September 30, 2022, no claims from the foregoing guarantees had arisen.

Foreign Exchange and Reserves

Exchange Rates

The following table sets forth information on exchange rates between the Rupiah and the U.S. dollar for the periods indicated.

Exchange Rates

 

     End of
Period
     Average  
               
    

Rupiah per

U.S. dollar

 

2017

     13,568        13,385  

2018

     14,380        14,246  

2019

     13,883        14,139  

2020

     14,050        14,525  

2021

     14,253        14,296  

2022^

     15,588        14,851  

 

Source:    Bank Indonesia

^

As of December 21, 2022

As of December 21, 2022, the Rupiah depreciated by 8.56% to Rp15,588 per U.S. dollar from Rp14,253 per U.S. dollar as of December 31, 2021, and on average depreciated by 3.88% from Rp14,296 per U.S. dollar in 2021 to Rp14,851 per U.S. dollar in 2022 (up to December 21, 2022). Rupiah exchange rate movements remain under control despite continued global financial market uncertainty in response to external sector resilience and Bank Indonesia’s stabilization measures. Bank Indonesia continues to strengthen rupiah exchange rate stabilization policy in line with the currency’s fundamental value and market mechanisms through effective monetary operations and adequate market liquidity.

 

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International Reserves

The following table sets forth the Republic’s total official international reserves, expressed in (i) U.S. dollar equivalents and (ii) the number of months of imports and Government external debt repayments, in each case at the end of the periods indicated. These reserves consist of foreign exchange, gold, SDRs and a reserve position with the IMF. Indonesia complies with the IMF’s Special Data Dissemination Standard requirement on international reserves and foreign exchange currency liquidity.

Official International Reserves of the Republic(1)

 

     As of December 31,      As of November 30,  
     2021P      2022P  
               
     (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for
months)
 

Gold

     4,595        4,435  

SDRs

     7,795        7,319  

Reserve position with the IMF

     1,110        1,042  

Foreign exchange and others

     131,405        121,199  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     144,905        133,994  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total as number of months of imports and Government external debt repayments

     7.8        5.8  

 

Source:     Bank Indonesia

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated.

As of November 30, 2022, foreign reserves recorded U.S.$134.0 billion, equivalent to 5.8 months of import coverage and government external debt service requirements. In addition, the coverage ratio is in excess of the recommended international adequacy ratio of three months imports.

Regional Swap Arrangements of the Republic

As of November 30, 2022, no drawdowns on existing bilateral and regional swap arrangements have been made.

 

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Debt-to-GDP Ratios

The following table sets forth the central Government’s debt-to-GDP ratio and debt service to GDP ratio as of the dates indicated.

Debt-to-GDP Ratios

 

     As of December 31, 2021L      As of November 30, 2022P  
               
     (percentages, unless indicated otherwise)  

Debt-to-GDP ratio

     40.7        38.7  

Debt service to GDP ratio

     5.3        4.3  

Total public debt of the central Government (in billions of U.S.$)(1)

     484.1        479.9  

—% in Loans

     11.9        11.3  

—% in Bonds

     88.1        88.7  

 

Source:     Ministry of Finance, Bank Indonesia

L 

LKPP (Financial Report of Central Government/Audited).

P 

Preliminary.

(1) 

Outstanding foreign currency debt was converted to U.S. dollars using the BI middle exchange rate as of each period indicated in the table.

As of November 30, 2022, the central Government’s debt-to-GDP ratio was 38.7%, with U.S.$479.9 billion of total public debt of the central Government, 11.3% of which are in loans and 88.7% are in bonds.

 

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